trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 18 | -55.0% | -59.3% | 17% | 17% | -4.4% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -27.8% | -34.7% | 19% | 19% | +17.1% |
| all | 26 | -27.8% | -34.7% | 19% | 19% | +17.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.7% | 19% | +17.1% |
| 10% | -40.9% | 15% | +5.9% |
| 15% | -46.6% | 15% | -4.4% |
| 20% | -51.9% | 12% | -13.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | Jun 03 | $110 | −$15 | -13% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 29 | $10,000 | +$1,067 | +11% |
| ITF Takasaki: Yufei Ren vs Rina Saigo | May 29 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| ITF Takasaki: Sohyun Park vs Lizette Cabrera | May 29 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | May 29 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | May 29 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| ITF Gimcheon: Taisei Ichikawa vs Yun Seong Chung | May 29 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | May 29 | $100 | −$69 | -69% |
| Internationaux de Strasbourg: Diane Parry vs Emma Raducanu | May 29 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| ITF Takasaki: Mei Yamaguchi vs Sofya Lansere | May 29 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Cristina Bucsa | May 29 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| ITF Takasaki: Katy Dunne vs Raluca Georgiana Serban | May 29 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 29 | $100 | −$69 | -69% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | May 29 | $410 | −$220 | -54% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 23 | $100 | +$215 | +215% |
| ITF Wuning: Alexandra Shubladze vs Maria Kalyakina | May 21 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| ITF Takasaki: Yuriko Lily Miyazaki vs Sara Saito | May 19 | $11 | +$10 | +90% |
| Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) | May 19 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 17 | $50 | +$335 | +671% |
| Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatsch | May 14 | $200 | −$34 | -17% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 06 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? | May 04 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | May 01 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | Apr 28 | $182 | −$57 | -31% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 23 | $19,753 | +$8,767 | +44% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Apr 21 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |