Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:02:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

43
0x4396…332a
crypto · 2161 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$655 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$660 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$660
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1265 / 506
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1771 / 2161
History coverage16d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day142.0
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1771 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,026
7 days−$1,558
14 days+$322
30 days+$660
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 6, 1PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,226
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 54m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)+11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 591 -29.0% -35.7% 37% 37% -43.8%
≤30d 1771 +23.4% +11.7% 71% 71% -2.3%
≤90d 1771 +23.4% +11.7% 71% 71% -2.3%
all 1771 +23.4% +11.7% 71% 71% -2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover142.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +11.7% 71% -2.3%
10% ← realistic here +1.0% 69% -11.6%
15% -8.8% 62% -20.2%
20% -17.7% 55% -28.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $0.05 (match) · 3500 history records