trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 50% | 0% | -13.0% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +1.5% | -8.2% | 67% | 17% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 55% | 30% | -11.6% |
| all | 20 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 55% | 30% | -11.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.6% | 30% | -11.6% |
| 10% | -21.8% | 15% | -20.1% |
| 15% | -29.4% | 0% | -27.8% |
| 20% | -36.3% | 0% | -34.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Yes | 86¢ | 90¢ | $232 | $242 | +$10 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $788 | −$120 | -15% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $234 | −$10 | -4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026? | Jun 14 | $199 | +$3 | +1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $816 | +$48 | +6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? | Jun 01 | $254 | +$45 | +18% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | May 28 | $504 | +$16 | +3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | May 12 | $164 | +$46 | +28% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | May 02 | $125 | +$20 | +16% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | Apr 29 | $83 | −$28 | -34% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Apr 28 | $100 | +$25 | +25% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026? | Apr 26 | $8 | $0 | -1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026? | Apr 25 | $67 | −$23 | -35% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Apr 25 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026? | Apr 24 | $100 | −$34 | -34% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Apr 23 | $100 | −$1 | -1% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Apr 23 | $102 | −$21 | -21% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | Apr 10 | $94 | +$8 | +8% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Apr 02 | $50 | +$13 | +26% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Apr 01 | $7 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Apr 01 | $20 | +$3 | +17% |