trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +11.6% | +0.9% | 33% | 33% | -33.8% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +11.6% | +0.9% | 33% | 33% | -33.8% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -30.0% | -36.7% | 17% | 17% | -63.7% |
| all | 20 | -28.9% | -35.7% | 20% | 20% | -64.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -35.7% | 20% | -64.1% |
| 10% | -41.9% | 20% | -67.5% |
| 15% | -47.5% | 20% | -70.7% |
| 20% | -52.6% | 10% | -73.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $7 | $6 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $175 | −$79 | -45% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$23 | +442% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $4 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$8 | +165% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +42% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Apr 09 | $25 | −$4 | -15% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Mar 28 | $50 | −$18 | -36% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Mar 28 | $75 | −$19 | -25% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | Mar 28 | $968 | −$655 | -68% |
| Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In | Mar 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | Mar 21 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | Mar 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - March 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | Mar 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | Mar 20 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | Mar 14 | $35 | −$28 | -80% |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | Mar 12 | $1 | $0 | +41% |