Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:41:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

43
0x437d…9af2
crypto · 26 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$39 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$39 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses16 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)26 / 26
History coverage1d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day56.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 26 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days−$39
14 days−$39
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$10 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $95 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $62 −$18 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$5 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$15 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $55 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +39%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $25 +$3 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$42
other 3% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $30 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $31 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $41 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $20 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $47 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-21.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -13.0% -21.3% 62% 42% -14.3%
≤30d 26 -13.0% -21.3% 62% 42% -14.3%
≤90d 26 -13.0% -21.3% 62% 42% -14.3%
all 26 -13.0% -21.3% 62% 42% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.3% 42% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -28.8% 12% -22.5%
15% -35.7% 8% -30.0%
20% -42.0% 0% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 65 history records