Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T20:04:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
43 0x4361…6dbb other 930 markets active 1h ago coverage 75d
TRAPdo not copy ⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$7,747 (+3%) realized +$7,747 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate100%930W / 0L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$268per market
Trades / day13.7pace
Kalshi-fit47%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$71
7 days+$611
14 days+$1,635
30 days+$5,209
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 69% +$3,790
other 31% +$3,541
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 89 +4.1% -5.8% 100% 8% -7.1%
≤30d 589 +6.2% -3.9% 100% 6% -6.8%
≤90d 930 +4.6% -5.4% 100% 5% -7.1%
all 930 +4.6% -5.4% 100% 5% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.4% 5% -7.1%
10% -14.4% 2% -16.0%
15% -22.7% 1% -24.1%
20% -30.3% 0% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +6% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

75d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$7,747
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses930 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)930 / 930
History coverage75d
Avg bet$268
Trades / day13.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit47%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 930 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 20 $124 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 20 $239 +$33 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 20 $139 +$6 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 20 $17 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 20 $84 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 20 $89 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 20 $29 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 20 $89 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 20 $123 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 20 $66 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 20 $40 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 20 $178 +$18 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 20 $97 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 19 $175 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 19 $75 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 19 $79 +$5 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 19 $70 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 18 $56 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 18 $58 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $24 +$4 +16%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $40 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $155 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 18 $29 +$13 +45%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $138 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $67 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $746 +$20 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $88 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $92 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $155 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $131 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $602 +$10 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $134 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $85 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $49 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $52 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $141 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $164 +$17 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $98 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $141 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $62 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $32 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $42 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $70 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $153 +$51 +34%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $242 +$31 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $28 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $79 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $34 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $124 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $239 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $139 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $84 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $89 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $29 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $89 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $123 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $66 12h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $40 14h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $178 18h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $97 19h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $175 20h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $75 21h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $79 23h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $70 24h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $56 46h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $58 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $24 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $40 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $155 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $29 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $138 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $67 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $746 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $88 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $92 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $155 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1953 history records