Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:08:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

43
0x4356…712d
crypto · 36 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$75 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$75 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$75
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses12 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)36 / 36
History coverage70d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$9 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $46 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$2 +5%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $15 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$17 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$7 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on April 6? Apr 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Apr 06 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Apr 04 $14 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Apr 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Apr 04 $7 −$3 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Apr 04 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Apr 04 $18 −$7 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Apr 04 $15 −$13 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Apr 04 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Apr 04 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Apr 04 $16 +$18 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Apr 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Apr 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Apr 04 $25 −$11 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Apr 04 $19 +$7 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Apr 04 $15 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Apr 03 $15 −$8 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Apr 03 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Apr 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Apr 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Apr 03 $16 −$10 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Apr 03 $11 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Apr 03 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Apr 03 $25 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Apr 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Apr 03 $6 +$14 +235%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$81
other 7% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-31.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +2.8% -7.0% 60% 20% -13.0%
≤30d 10 +2.8% -7.0% 60% 20% -13.0%
≤90d 36 -24.3% -31.5% 33% 17% -22.8%
all 36 -24.3% -31.5% 33% 17% -22.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.5% 17% -22.8%
10% -38.0% 17% -30.2%
15% -44.0% 14% -36.9%
20% -49.5% 8% -43.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 187 history records