trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -33.8% | -40.1% | 32% | 28% | -32.8% |
| ≤30d | 27 | -38.7% | -44.5% | 30% | 26% | -42.5% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -38.7% | -44.5% | 30% | 26% | -42.5% |
| all | 27 | -38.7% | -44.5% | 30% | 26% | -42.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.5% | 26% | -42.5% |
| 10% | -49.8% | 19% | -48.0% |
| 15% | -54.7% | 19% | -53.0% |
| 20% | -59.1% | 19% | -57.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 7¢ | $1,457 | $1,071 | −$386 (-26%) |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Scotland | 49¢ | 70¢ | $500 | $716 | +$216 (+43%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $313 | +$4 | +1% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $120 | −$117 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $138 | +$129 | +93% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$47 | -92% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $301 | −$126 | -42% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 18 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Spread: Czechia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $202 | +$44 | +22% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $613 | +$90 | +15% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $203 | −$201 | -99% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $204 | +$230 | +113% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $527 | −$185 | -35% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $398 | −$50 | -12% |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $233 | −$73 | -31% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $328 | −$107 | -32% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $203 | +$153 | +75% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $203 | −$200 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $304 | +$274 | +90% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $199 | −$199 | -100% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $501 | +$414 | +83% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $440 | −$433 | -98% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $49 | −$48 | -98% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $244 | −$239 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $406 | −$299 | -74% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $537 | −$489 | -91% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $285 | −$280 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $86 | −$86 | -100% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $1,087 | −$1,074 | -99% |