Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:47:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

42
0x42ea…167e
crypto · 71 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
−$53 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$53 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$53
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses34 / 37
Open positions0
Markets (closed)71 / 71
History coverage147d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 71 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$312
7 days+$158
14 days+$158
30 days+$158
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$8 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $97 +$68 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $86 +$28 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$19 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$38 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $270 +$123 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $81 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $173 +$46 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$30 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$25 +235%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $82 +$17 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $46 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$10 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$37 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$13 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $57 +$50 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$23 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$26 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$21 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -60%
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? Jun 09 $338 −$243 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$14 +134%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% +$401
politics 21% −$265
other 12% −$243
sports 1% +$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $20 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $20 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $21 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $21 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $20 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $20 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $21 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $20 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $20 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $9 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+1.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 +9.9% -0.6% 48% 42% -2.8%
≤30d 69 +9.9% -0.6% 48% 42% -2.8%
≤90d 69 +9.9% -0.6% 48% 42% -2.8%
all 71 +12.1% +1.4% 48% 42% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.4% 42% -11.3%
10% -8.3% 38% -19.8%
15% -17.2% 34% -27.5%
20% -25.3% 28% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 331 history records