Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

42
0x42e9…b8c6
sports · 1533 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$129 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$129 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$129
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses709 / 824
Est. fees paid−$55
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1533 / 1533
History coverage54d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day48.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 0 History 1533 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$2
14 days−$28
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Mexico to win the second half? No 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Neither team to score first? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $7 +$8 +118%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 +$3 +105%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 −$4 -196%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Neither team to score first? Jun 12 $2 −$4 -196%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +127%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $14 +$18 +126%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 +$1 +46%
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? Jun 12 $2 +$2 +96%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 +$3 +107%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $2 +$4 +180%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $6 +$2 +36%
Mexico to win the second half? Jun 11 $3 −$5 -197%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $3 +$1 +42%
Will India win on 2026-06-09? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-06-06? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-06-06? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will FC Imabari win on 2026-06-07? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will El Salvador win on 2026-06-06? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-06-09? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-06? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +33%
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $3 +$7 +222%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $3 +$1 +32%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $4 +$2 +60%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $2 +$3 +134%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 +$1 +25%
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher Jun 09 $2 +$1 +52%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Modena: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 09 $2 +$1 +60%
China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 09 $3 +$2 +86%
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $2 +$4 +203%
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $2 $0 +13%
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $6 +$13 +214%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $2 +$3 +143%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% −$236
other 25% +$104
crypto 1% −$13
world 0% +$16
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 SELL Over 0¢ $0 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 100¢ $16 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 BUY Over 22¢ $2 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 45¢ $7 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 98¢ $5 8h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 80¢ $3 8h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $3 9h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $2 9h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 88¢ $5 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $32 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $14 25h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $4 25h
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? SELL No 99¢ $5 25h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $5 25h
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? BUY No 50¢ $2 26h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $2 26h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Neither team to score first? BUY Yes 24¢ $2 26h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 67¢ $3 26h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $2 26h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 26h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali SELL LOS 100¢ $6 27h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $8 29h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 73¢ $6 30h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 35¢ $2 30h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 24¢ $2 31h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $4 32h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $3 32h
Mexico to win the second half? BUY No 51¢ $3 32h
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? SELL No 71¢ $5 2d
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 89¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 120 -8.4% -17.2% 48% 48% -7.3%
≤30d 665 -8.3% -17.1% 45% 43% -11.0%
≤90d 1533 -7.0% -15.9% 46% 44% -12.1%
all 1533 -7.0% -15.9% 46% 44% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 44% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.9% 41% -20.5%
15% -31.3% 33% -28.2%
20% -38.0% 26% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records