Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:49:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
42 0x42e8…e750 crypto 348 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3049 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$204 (+1%) realized +$204 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate56%194W / 154L
Whale WR62%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$66per market
Trades / day3049.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$430
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3049 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-5.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 348 +4.7% -5.2% 56% 41% -11.2%
≤30d 348 +4.7% -5.2% 56% 41% -11.2%
≤90d 348 +4.7% -5.2% 56% 41% -11.2%
all 348 +4.7% -5.2% 56% 41% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3049.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.2% 41% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -14.3% 30% -19.7%
15% -22.6% 22% -27.5%
20% -30.2% 9% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
25% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 62% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +18% → late -9% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
8.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$17 · ×0.66 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$204
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses194 / 154
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)348 / 348
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$66
Trades / day3049.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 348 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $39 −$39 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 11, 12AM ET? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $36 −$10 -28%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $51 −$28 -54%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$4 +44%
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 11, 12AM ET? Jun 11 $12 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$3 -19%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$5 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$4 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $45 −$19 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $27 +$11 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $49 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $138 −$21 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $377 −$73 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$5 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $28 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $96 +$5 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $27 −$4 -15%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $330 −$54 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $52 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $68 −$4 -5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $24 −$4 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $45 −$12 -25%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $111 +$9 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $36 −$10 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $197 −$22 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $100 −$41 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $103 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $571 −$187 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $185 +$17 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records