Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:23:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

42
0x42e5…4ad7
crypto · 16 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$15 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses4 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)16 / 16
History coverage64d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 16 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$8 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $36 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -90%
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Apr 13 $23 +$8 +35%
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Apr 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Apr 13 $7 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Apr 13 $6 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Apr 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Apr 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Apr 13 $3 −$3 -86%
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Apr 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Apr 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Apr 13 $6 −$4 -67%
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12? Apr 10 $10 −$1 -5%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? Apr 10 $5 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $38 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $29 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $17 60d
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $13 60d
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $12 60d
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $3 60d
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 60d
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up $5 60d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $4 60d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 60d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 60d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $7 60d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down $0 60d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 60d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $4 60d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 60d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $5 60d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-36.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -18.9% -26.6% 25% 25% -5.9%
≤30d 4 -18.9% -26.6% 25% 25% -5.9%
≤90d 16 -29.3% -36.0% 25% 25% -16.9%
all 16 -29.3% -36.0% 25% 25% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.0% 25% -16.9%
10% -42.1% 12% -24.8%
15% -47.7% 6% -32.1%
20% -52.8% 6% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 60 history records