Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

42
0x42c9…9623
sports · 312 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$127,384 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$127,404 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Net worth$130
Realized+$127,404
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses179 / 167
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$9,669
Open positions2
Markets (closed)346 / 312
History coverage8d
Avg bet$2,798
Trades / day404.2
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 346 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9,883
7 days+$31,942
14 days+$127,404
30 days+$127,404
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Viktorija Golubic 79¢ 100¢ $99 $125 +$26 (+27%)
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Guido Justo 89¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+12%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Panna Udvardy 22¢ $15 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockx Cristian Garin 58¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Pedro Martinez Pedro Martinez 31¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Makarska: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Noma Noha Akugue 39¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Oeiras 4: Tiago Pereira vs Gastao Elias Gastao Elias 24¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Wushuang Zheng Wushuang Zheng $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Jiujiang: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Heather Watson Mananchaya Sawangkaew 41¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider Diana Shnaider 18¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Oeiras 4: Jil Teichmann vs Whitney Osuigwe Jil Teichmann 15¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Alexandra Eala Alexandra Eala 15¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ostrava: Marco Cecchinato vs Daniel Michalski Daniel Michalski 27¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bordeaux: Sho Shimabukuro vs Quentin Halys Sho Shimabukuro 28¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Panna Udvardy Panna Udvardy 11¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina Iga Swiatek 78¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi Luciano Darderi $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Elena Rybakina Veronika Erjavec $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Francavilla: Gustavo Heide vs Lilian Marmousez Lilian Marmousez 45¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Ann Li Ann Li $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Florent Bax Florent Bax $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bordeaux: Jenson Brooksby vs Alex Molcan Jenson Brooksby 31¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Madrid Open, Qualification: Moez Echargui vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Moez Echargui 15¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Beatriz Haddad Maia 32¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Abidjan 2: Sasikumar Mukund vs Mert Alkaya Sasikumar Mukund 14¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockx Jun 12 $0 +$301 +69164%
Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Pedro Martinez Jun 12 $0 −$61 -51588%
Oeiras 4: Tiago Pereira vs Gastao Elias Jun 12 $0 +$2 +808%
Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Wushuang Zheng Jun 12 $0 $0 -1332%
Jiujiang: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Heather Watson Jun 12 $0 −$1 -520%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider Jun 12 $0 +$14 +53547%
Oeiras 4: Jil Teichmann vs Whitney Osuigwe Jun 12 $0 −$2 -7199%
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Alexandra Eala Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1898%
Ostrava: Marco Cecchinato vs Daniel Michalski Jun 12 $0 −$246 -644622%
Bordeaux: Sho Shimabukuro vs Quentin Halys Jun 12 $0 +$189 +127918%
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Panna Udvardy Jun 12 $0 +$21 +59925%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina Jun 12 $0 −$3 -558%
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi Jun 12 $0 $0 -2185%
Roland Garros WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Elena Rybakina Jun 12 $0 $0 +498%
Francavilla: Gustavo Heide vs Lilian Marmousez Jun 12 $0 $0 -61%
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Ann Li Jun 12 $0 $0 -1812%
Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Florent Bax Jun 12 $0 +$1 +2176%
Bordeaux: Jenson Brooksby vs Alex Molcan Jun 12 $0 −$1 -303%
Madrid Open, Qualification: Moez Echargui vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Jun 12 $0 −$148 -637268%
Madrid Open: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Jun 12 $0 $0 -678%
Abidjan 2: Sasikumar Mukund vs Mert Alkaya Jun 12 $0 $0 +2436%
Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Viktorija Golubic Jun 12 $0 $0 -1359%
La Bisbal: Antonia Ruzic vs Victoria Bosio Jun 12 $0 $0 -924%
Brazzaville: Aditya Balsekar vs Gray Voelzke Jun 12 $0 $0 +125%
Abidjan: Blaise Bicknell vs Yanki Erel Jun 12 $0 +$1 +378%
Shymkent: Sandro Kopp vs Damir Zhalgasbay Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1671%
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Jun 12 $0 $0 -18%
Abidjan 2: Elijah Sanogo vs Michael Mmoh Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi Jun 12 $0 $0 +1726%
Cordoba: Ryan Dickerson vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 12 $0 $0 +184%
Istanbul: Maria Timofeeva vs Adelina Lachinova Jun 12 $0 −$23 -70348%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Jun 12 $0 $0 -698%
Madrid Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Carlota Martinez Cirez Jun 12 $0 +$6 +2839%
Santos: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Valerio Aboian Jun 12 $0 $0 -154%
La Bisbal: Laura Pigossi vs Daria Kasatkina Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $2,164 −$164 -8%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $3,088 +$3,836 +124%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $574 +$143 +25%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $203 +$71 +35%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $3,290 −$2,194 -67%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $3,875 −$3,875 -100%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $444 +$233 +52%
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $7,613 +$381 +5%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $76 −$71 -93%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $288 +$60 +21%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $1,242 +$324 +26%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $4,327 −$1,975 -46%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $2,324 −$1,588 -68%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $502 +$239 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$127,352
other 0% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones $2 49m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 91¢ $49 50m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 15¢ $5 51m
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Nicolas Kicker 84¢ $0 57m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 79¢ $28 59m
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 41¢ $281 1h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 41¢ $89 1h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 41¢ $109 1h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 41¢ $55 1h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 41¢ $3 1h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 41¢ $3 1h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 41¢ $232 1h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 41¢ $41 1h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 42¢ $160 1h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 40¢ $2 1h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 40¢ $116 1h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 46¢ $126 1h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 64¢ $103 1h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 50¢ $57 1h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 42¢ $44 1h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 41¢ $1 1h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 41¢ $3 1h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 41¢ $2 1h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 34¢ $7 1h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 53¢ $3 1h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Nicolas Kicker 61¢ $1,234 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 20¢ $1,087 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 20¢ $65 1h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 47¢ $32 1h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 55¢ $192 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+37.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 315 +56.1% +41.2% 52% 46% -4.8%
≤30d 346 +52.3% +37.8% 52% 45% +3.7%
≤90d 346 +52.3% +37.8% 52% 45% +3.7%
all 346 +52.3% +37.8% 52% 45% +3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover404.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +37.8% 45% +3.7%
10% +24.6% 32% -6.2%
15% ← realistic here +12.6% 25% -15.3%
20% +1.5% 17% -23.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $130.47 · official $130.47 (match) · 3500 history records