Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

42
0x42c8…a25c
sports · 185 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$122 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$180 · open +$57
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$325
Realized−$180
Unrealized+$57
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses81 / 86
Est. fees paid−$62
Open positions18
Markets (closed)167 / 185
History coverage7d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day63.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 18 History 167 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$53
7 days−$190
14 days−$180
30 days−$180
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 87¢ 100¢ $87 $100 +$13 (+15%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 44¢ 100¢ $43 $100 +$56 (+130%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Elena Rybakina 74¢ 74¢ $74 $74 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 16¢ 36¢ $6 $13 +$7 (+121%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 57¢ 55¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-4%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Katie Boulter 20¢ 26¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+32%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Kaitlin Quevedo 31¢ 34¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 25¢ 18¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-26%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Anubis Gaming 41¢ 36¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-12%)
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+75%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-7%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-17%)
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Derrick Lewis 24¢ 22¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-25%)
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-25%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-92%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-99%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C WLGaming Esports 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Shuai Zhang 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 16¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$7 +474%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $9 +$11 +116%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$46 +1150%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $125 −$7 -6%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $43 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $3 +$7 +238%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $33 +$17 +50%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -88%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 $0 -16%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $649 −$183 -28%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $220 +$5 +2%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $8 +$2 +21%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $226 +$2 +1%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $78 +$22 +29%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $61 −$2 -3%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 11 $66 −$66 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $87 +$13 +15%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$5 +86%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $8 +$2 +31%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $59 +$51 +87%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $246 +$14 +6%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Ekaterina Maklakova Jun 11 $82 +$11 +14%
ITF Wuning: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Sara Saito Jun 11 $89 +$12 +14%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $350 +$60 +17%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $8 +$2 +18%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $4 +$6 +178%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $7 +$3 +52%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $8 −$8 -98%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 11 $5 +$5 +89%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $73 +$7 +10%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $241 +$68 +28%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $18 +$1 +4%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 10 $17 +$7 +40%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb Jun 10 $46 +$20 +43%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $2 +$8 +365%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $53 +$47 +90%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 10 $27 −$27 -100%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$122
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 31¢ $5 0m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 74¢ $47 7m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 74¢ $27 7m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 14¢ $1 27m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 4¢ $2 35m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 57¢ $6 36m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 9¢ $2 39m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 9¢ $1 39m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 9¢ $0 39m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 9¢ $0 39m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 9¢ $1 39m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 9¢ $0 39m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 25¢ $5 42m
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 1¢ $1 45m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 17¢ $4 53m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 87¢ $87 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 53¢ $27 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 34¢ $17 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 20¢ $3 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 20¢ $1 2h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY WLGaming Esports 21¢ $4 2h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 41¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 8¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 8¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 92¢ $40 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 92¢ $52 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 13¢ $13 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 90¢ $90 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 27¢ $26 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 44¢ $43 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 165 -8.8% -17.5% 48% 42% -13.0%
≤30d 167 -8.0% -16.8% 49% 43% -12.8%
≤90d 167 -8.0% -16.8% 49% 43% -12.8%
all 167 -8.0% -16.8% 49% 43% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 43% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 32% -21.2%
15% -32.0% 25% -28.8%
20% -38.7% 20% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $325.12 · official $325.02 (match) · 514 history records