Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T22:09:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
42 0x42c0…8e17 crypto 887 markets active 0h ago coverage 28d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d only
✗ bot/MM pace (91 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$1,792 (-0%) realized −$1,792 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%878W / 8L
Whale WR99%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$576per market
Trades / day91.2pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$1,001now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$213
7 days+$272
14 days+$272
30 days−$1,865
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$401
other 1% −$1,463
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (91 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 270 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 886 -0.2% -9.7% 99% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 886 -0.2% -9.7% 99% 0% -9.9%
all 886 -0.2% -9.7% 99% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover91.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 0% -9.9%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.5%
15% ← realistic here -26.2% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 99% (≥$1,000) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$817 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$1,001
Realized−$1,792
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses878 / 8
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)886 / 887
History coverage28d ⚠
Avg bet$576
Trades / day91.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 886 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 26 $1,000 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 26 $106 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 26 $119 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 26 $1,000 +$1 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 26 $100 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 26 $63 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 26 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 26 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 26 $700 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 26 $1,000 +$1 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 26 $8 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 26 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 26 $135 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 26 $243 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 26 $9 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 26 $600 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 26 $1,000 +$1 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 26 $85 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 26 $153 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 26 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 26 $222 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 26 $100 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 26 $100 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 26 $65 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 26 $60 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 26 $106 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 26 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 26 $700 +$1 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 26 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 26 $600 +$6 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 26 $47 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 26 $27 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 26 $100 −$27 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 26 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 26 $145 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 26 $50 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 26 $600 +$6 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 26 $97 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 26 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 26 $1,000 +$1 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 26 $92 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 26 $32 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 26 $67 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 26 $1,000 +$10 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 26 $95 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 26 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 26 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 26 $100 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1,000 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $119 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $105 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $970 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $8 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $100 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $63 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $83 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $689 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1,000 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $84 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $16 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $49 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $86 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $600 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1,000 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $85 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $32 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $121 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $18 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $200 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,001.00 · official $1,001.00 (match) · 3500 history records