trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 0% | 0% | -11.4% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 0% | 0% | -11.4% |
| all | 19 | -2.3% | -11.6% | 37% | 0% | -10.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.6% | 0% | -10.8% |
| 10% | -20.1% | 0% | -19.3% |
| 15% | -27.8% | 0% | -27.1% |
| 20% | -34.9% | 0% | -34.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alberta join the US? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 17 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 27 | $18 | −$1 | -7% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 26 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 26 | $31 | −$1 | -2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 25 | $23 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Rumble buy TikTok? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | -22% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championshi | Jun 26 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea ele | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 09 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Apr 07 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 06 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | Apr 05 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon 250-499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days? | Apr 03 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in his first 100 days? | Apr 02 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds? | Apr 01 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Mar 31 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon go on Daily Show before April? | Mar 30 | $1 | $0 | -11% |