trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +332.8% | +291.6% | 50% | 17% | -8.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +263.2% | +228.6% | 45% | 27% | -0.4% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +263.2% | +228.6% | 45% | 27% | -0.4% |
| all | 28 | +104.0% | +84.6% | 54% | 11% | -2.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +84.6% | 11% | -2.2% |
| 10% | +66.9% | 11% | -11.5% |
| 15% | +50.8% | 11% | -20.1% |
| 20% | +36.0% | 11% | -27.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 36¢ | 36¢ | $46 | $47 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 17 | $77 | −$3 | -4% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 15 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 15 | $69 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 14 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $67 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $200 | +$10 | +5% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 08 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $51 | +$46 | +90% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 05 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 05 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election | Jun 26 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 24 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana reach $220 in June? | Jun 18 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025? | Jun 17 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 15 | $8 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open? | Jun 13 | $4 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jun 07 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 06 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 04 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the | Jun 03 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Jun 03 | $18 | +$1 | +7% |