trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 0% | 0% | -13.0% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 0% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 26 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.3% | 0% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -18.9% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $430 | −$82 | -19% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $900 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $900 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $902 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $901 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 02 | $1,811 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 31 | $905 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $910 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $912 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 22 | $912 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 20 | $913 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 18 | $1,851 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $915 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $1,853 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 12 | $916 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 10 | $921 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 08 | $920 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 06 | $923 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 04 | $925 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 02 | $782 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 30 | $927 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $934 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 26 | $935 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 20 | $936 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 18 | $937 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 16 | $930 | −$1 | -0% |