Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:57:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

42
0x4268…ccb4
crypto · 175 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,033 +53%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,033 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,033
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses43 / 132
Open positions0
Markets (closed)175 / 175
History coverage4d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day361.0
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 175 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,138
7 days+$2,033
14 days+$2,033
30 days+$2,033
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$24 +231%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$25 +256%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $81 −$81 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$15 +288%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$83 +386%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $126 −$1 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$55 +385%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$152 +375%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$87 +859%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $77 +$246 +320%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,033
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $20 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $0 47m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)+5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 175 +16.5% +5.4% 25% 23% +37.9%
≤30d 175 +16.5% +5.4% 25% 23% +37.9%
≤90d 175 +16.5% +5.4% 25% 23% +37.9%
all 175 +16.5% +5.4% 25% 23% +37.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover361.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.4% 23% +37.9%
10% ← realistic here -4.7% 23% +24.7%
15% -13.9% 23% +12.7%
20% -22.4% 22% +1.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1463 history records