Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T11:05:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

42
0x425d…3f56
crypto · 522 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$63 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$63 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$63
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses367 / 155
Open positions0
Markets (closed)522 / 522
History coverage42d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day23.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 522 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$4
14 days+$3
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -23%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -34%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -25%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$63
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $1 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $1 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $1 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +5.0% -5.0% 76% 50% -4.0%
≤30d 494 -1.8% -11.2% 73% 31% -10.8%
≤90d 522 -4.2% -13.3% 70% 30% -16.8%
all 522 -4.2% -13.3% 70% 30% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 30% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 7% -24.7%
15% -29.2% 1% -32.0%
20% -36.1% 1% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1069 history records