trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -29.4% | -36.1% | 32% | 32% | -56.9% |
| all | 19 | -29.4% | -36.1% | 32% | 32% | -56.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.1% | 32% | -56.9% |
| 10% | -42.2% | 26% | -61.0% |
| 15% | -47.8% | 21% | -64.8% |
| 20% | -52.9% | 16% | -68.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $778 | $771 | −$7 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 19¢ | $285 | $303 | +$18 (+6%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 8¢ | $20 | $23 | +$3 (+15%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $25 | $22 | −$3 (-12%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 14¢ | $20 | $15 | −$5 (-23%) |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $7 | −$22 (-75%) |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $23 | $4 | −$19 (-81%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $168 | −$164 | -98% |
| Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-05-09? | May 24 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 24 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | May 09 | $12 | +$9 | +73% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final? | May 06 | $5 | +$7 | +138% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Apr 28 | $10 | −$8 | -79% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 28 | $17 | −$13 | -81% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | Apr 26 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Apr 14 | $14 | +$3 | +19% |
| Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | Apr 14 | $10 | +$4 | +41% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Apr 14 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | Apr 13 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | Apr 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | Apr 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | Apr 13 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | Apr 13 | $13 | −$5 | -38% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | Apr 13 | $10 | +$2 | +25% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $25 | +$61 | +244% |