Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:31:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

42
0x424e…263b
crypto · 186 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,122 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$832 · open +$164
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$2,291
Realized+$832
Unrealized+$164
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses119 / 64
Open positions17
Markets (closed)183 / 186
Avg bet$94
Trades / day3295.0
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 17 History 183 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$832
7 days+$832
14 days+$832
30 days+$832
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Over 52¢ 52¢ $385 $387 +$3 (+1%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 Under 47¢ 61¢ $273 $353 +$81 (+30%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Milwaukee Brewers 50¢ 64¢ $270 $346 +$76 (+28%)
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Cincinnati Reds 61¢ 72¢ $207 $245 +$37 (+18%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals 47¢ 40¢ $263 $227 −$36 (-14%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 Under 54¢ 56¢ $194 $203 +$9 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 72¢ 68¢ $216 $202 −$14 (-6%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays 44¢ 38¢ $88 $77 −$11 (-12%)
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Boston Red Sox 38¢ 30¢ $77 $61 −$16 (-21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 62¢ 62¢ $52 $52 −$0 (-0%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays 43¢ 56¢ $37 $48 +$11 (+31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 29¢ 32¢ $37 $41 +$4 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 33¢ 38¢ $13 $16 +$2 (+17%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 47¢ 38¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-20%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 0¢ 44¢ $0 $7 +$7 (+0%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Over 53¢ 30¢ $11 $6 −$5 (-43%)
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) St. Louis Cardinals 63¢ 66¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes 0¢ 79¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Up 65¢ 74¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+13%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$7 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $222 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $317 +$52 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$9 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$7 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $257 −$21 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$9 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $172 +$17 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$11 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$12 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $151 −$12 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$14 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $231 +$31 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$18 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$11 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $151 +$25 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $229 −$29 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$21 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$14 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $202 −$92 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $199 +$10 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $68 −$25 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $247 −$71 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$13 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $250 +$44 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $140 +$37 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $360 +$80 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $234 −$7 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $183 −$34 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $81 −$19 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $154 +$18 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $368 +$31 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $178 +$108 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $403 +$53 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +104%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$844
other 9% +$159
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $27 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $26 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $13 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-3.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 183 +6.8% -3.4% 65% 50% -5.1%
≤30d 183 +6.8% -3.4% 65% 50% -5.1%
≤90d 183 +6.8% -3.4% 65% 50% -5.1%
all 183 +6.8% -3.4% 65% 50% -5.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3295.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.4% 50% -5.1%
10% ← realistic here -12.6% 29% -14.2%
15% -21.0% 12% -22.5%
20% -28.8% 7% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,291.04 · official $2,260.76 · 3500 history records