trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 10% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 10% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 24 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.9% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.5% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.4% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1,167 | $1,166 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $61 | $61 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 | Jun 19 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Jun 19 | $1,095 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 16? | Jun 17 | $34 | +$3 | +9% |
| Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Jun 17 | $1,163 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 17 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 16 | $1,073 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Marcus Thuram be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $1,130 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Jun 15 | $69 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 15 | $1,216 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? | Jun 15 | $1,110 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | Apr 18 | $190 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, | Apr 18 | $3 | $0 | -13% |
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Apr 17 | $183 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 16 | $13 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Apr 16 | $188 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 02 | $118 | $0 | -0% |
| Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 02 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 02 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | Mar 29 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 28 | $78 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Mar 28 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 25 | $182 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Mar 25 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Mar 25 | $69 | $0 | -0% |