trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -15.6% | -23.6% | 50% | 50% | +9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -15.6% | -23.6% | 50% | 50% | +9.6% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -15.6% | -23.6% | 50% | 50% | +9.6% |
| all | 14 | -29.3% | -36.0% | 36% | 36% | -40.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.0% | 36% | -40.7% |
| 10% | -42.1% | 36% | -46.4% |
| 15% | -47.7% | 29% | -51.6% |
| 20% | -52.9% | 21% | -56.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 44¢ | 86¢ | $50 | $97 | +$47 (+94%) |
| Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 75¢ | 77¢ | $76 | $78 | +$2 (+3%) |
| Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 44¢ | 40¢ | $58 | $53 | −$5 (-8%) |
| Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 56¢ | 56¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | No | 8¢ | 9¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+12%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $44 | +$33 | +73% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | Jun 20 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Donyell Malen: 1+ goals | Jun 20 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 1.5 | Jun 20 | $50 | +$32 | +64% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division? | Feb 11 | $210 | −$44 | -21% |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs? | Feb 08 | $128 | −$6 | -5% |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Chicago Bulls? | Feb 02 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division? | Feb 02 | $13 | +$4 | +27% |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | Jan 15 | $54 | −$54 | -100% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 15 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Brisbane International: Valentin Vacherot vs Sebastian Korda | Jan 05 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Spread: Patriots (-14.5) | Jan 05 | $49 | +$54 | +111% |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) | Jan 05 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Spread: Broncos (-14.5) | Jan 05 | $50 | +$20 | +40% |