trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +16.6% | +5.5% | 100% | 67% | +9.3% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -53.2% | -57.6% | 42% | 17% | +2.8% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +20.8% | +9.3% | 50% | 25% | +3.5% |
| all | 19 | +24.0% | +12.2% | 58% | 26% | +3.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +12.2% | 26% | +3.6% |
| 10% | +1.4% | 16% | -6.3% |
| 15% | -8.4% | 11% | -15.4% |
| 20% | -17.3% | 11% | -23.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? | No | 91¢ | 94¢ | $10,113 | $10,501 | +$388 (+4%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? | No | 87¢ | 90¢ | $9,138 | $9,504 | +$366 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $466 | +$34 | +7% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $4,155 | +$945 | +23% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $2,086 | +$414 | +20% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on November 28? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 2? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 1? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 2? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 29-January 4? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $337 | −$337 | -100% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva | Jun 04 | $501 | +$26 | +5% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC? | May 31 | $94 | +$7 | +7% |
| Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-05-20? | May 21 | $462 | +$39 | +8% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 2? | May 19 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? | May 19 | $10 | +$95 | +950% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | May 19 | $100 | +$12 | +12% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 2? | Jan 02 | $7 | +$8 | +119% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $20 | +$1 | +3% |