Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:07:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

41
0x41f1…d3c0
crypto · 201 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$333 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$333 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$333
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses194 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)200 / 201
History coverage4d
Avg bet$71
Trades / day184.0
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 200 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$312
7 days+$333
14 days+$333
30 days+$333
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $110 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $120 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $121 +$11 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $121 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $121 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $121 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $105 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $80 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $120 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $121 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $120 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $65 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $121 +$11 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $121 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $120 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $139 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $121 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $121 +$7 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $115 +$7 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $120 +$6 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$333
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $20 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $20 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $20 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $20 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 200 +2.3% -7.4% 97% 2% -7.4%
≤30d 200 +2.3% -7.4% 97% 2% -7.4%
≤90d 200 +2.3% -7.4% 97% 2% -7.4%
all 200 +2.3% -7.4% 97% 2% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover184.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 2% -7.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 0% -16.3%
15% -24.4% 0% -24.4%
20% -31.8% 0% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 918 history records