trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $132 | $0 | −$132 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? | Nov 04 | $10 | +$5 | +47% |
| OpenAI browser by October 31? | Oct 22 | $32,168 | +$33,267 | +103% |
| LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) | Oct 14 | $2 | $0 | +12% |
| LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner | Oct 14 | $9 | $0 | +4% |
| Valorant: Fnatic vs DRX (BO5) | Oct 04 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| GPT transaction fees by December 31? | Oct 04 | $352 | +$211 | +60% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $132 | −$132 | -100% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09? | Apr 16 | $44 | +$6 | +12% |
| Carabao Cup Semifinal: Tottenham vs. Liverpool (To Advance) | Apr 09 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08? | Apr 09 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09? | Apr 09 | $11 | +$6 | +57% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08? | Apr 09 | $96 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-03? | Feb 04 | $29 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Fulham vs. Manchester United end in a draw? | Jan 27 | $44 | +$9 | +21% |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-26? | Jan 26 | $7 | −$7 | -90% |
| Will Manchester City vs. Chelsea end in a draw? | Jan 26 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-25? | Jan 26 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-25? | Jan 26 | $54 | +$16 | +30% |
| Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech? | Jan 20 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech? | Jan 20 | $4 | +$1 | +38% |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech? | Jan 20 | $26 | +$4 | +14% |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech? | Jan 20 | $26 | +$5 | +19% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 22 | -6.8% | -15.6% | 73% | 55% | +81.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.6% | 55% | +81.8% |
| 10% | -23.7% | 27% | +64.4% |
| 15% | -31.1% | 23% | +48.5% |
| 20% | -37.8% | 14% | +34.0% |