Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:53:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

41
0x41b2…d635
sports · 222 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$72 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$75 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$72
Realized−$75
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses104 / 94
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions24
Markets (closed)198 / 222
History coverage579d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 24 History 198 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$6
14 days+$24
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 30¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+9%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? No 43¢ 46¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? Yes 81¢ 82¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Yes 49¢ 50¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? No 93¢ 92¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Yes 89¢ 88¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? No 85¢ 84¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? No 39¢ 38¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 77¢ 76¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-7%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 08 $3 $0 +12%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 08 $3 +$1 +42%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 03 $10 +$30 +297%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $3 $0 +10%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $3 $0 +12%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $3 $0 +16%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 31 $3 +$4 +140%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? May 28 $101 +$38 +38%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 20 $102 −$100 -98%
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? Oct 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Argentina win on 2025-09-09? Sep 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2025-09-09? Sep 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? Sep 01 $79 +$21 +27%
Will Juventus win the Serie A? May 30 $0 $0 -100%
Will Fiorentina win the Serie A? May 30 $0 $0 -100%
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Will another team win the Bundesliga? May 30 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga? May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Lazio win the Serie A? May 30 $0 $0 -100%
Will the Orlando Magic win the Eastern Conference? May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Athletic Bilbao win La Liga? May 30 $0 $0 -100%
Will Atalanta win the Serie A? May 30 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Grizzlies (To Advance) May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Magic (To Advance) May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference? Apr 21 $16 +$14 +82%
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference? Apr 21 $24 +$4 +16%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 21 $8 +$9 +106%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 21 $14 $0 +4%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 21 $4 +$2 +40%
Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League? Apr 21 $1 +$2 +233%
Will Napoli win the Serie A? Apr 21 $8 +$13 +173%
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 21 $0 +$1 +130%
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League? Apr 21 $6 +$6 +108%
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League? Apr 21 $1 +$2 +200%
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? Apr 21 $1 +$1 +190%
Will Frankfurt win the Bundesliga? Apr 21 $0 $0 -100%
Chelsea wins the Premier League? Apr 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League? Apr 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? Apr 21 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% −$47
other 17% +$4
politics 16% −$23
economics 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 39¢ $3 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 48¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 89¢ $3 6h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 56¢ $3 6h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 93¢ $3 8h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 85¢ $3 8h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 89¢ $3 39h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 43¢ $3 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 49¢ $3 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $3 3d
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 70¢ $3 6d
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $3 6d
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 6d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 77¢ $3 6d
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? BUY Yes 17¢ $3 6d
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $3 6d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 81¢ $3 6d
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 68¢ $3 6d
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $3 6d
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $3 6d
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 6d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 91¢ $3 6d
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $3 6d
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $3 6d
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $3 6d
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 6d
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $3 6d
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $3 6d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $3 6d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 80¢ $3 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-23.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -19.5% -27.2% 55% 55% -26.8%
≤30d 18 +10.9% +0.4% 67% 61% -20.9%
≤90d 18 +10.9% +0.4% 67% 61% -20.9%
all 198 -15.5% -23.6% 53% 37% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.6% 37% -13.4%
10% -30.9% 27% -21.7%
15% -37.6% 21% -29.3%
20% -43.7% 18% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $71.95 · official $71.95 (match) · 556 history records