Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:49:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

41
0x41b1…5a67
crypto · 1517 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,053 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,053 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,053
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses830 / 794
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1624 / 1517
History coverage36d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day79.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1624 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$895
7 days−$891
14 days−$766
30 days−$852
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$6 -160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$110
sports 1% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $0 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 243 -69.0% -71.9% 18% 18% -72.9%
≤30d 1041 -14.4% -22.5% 48% 46% -21.5%
≤90d 1624 -10.6% -19.1% 51% 48% -18.2%
all 1624 -10.6% -19.1% 51% 48% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.1% 48% -18.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.8% 44% -26.1%
15% -33.9% 40% -33.2%
20% -40.4% 27% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records