trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -23.3% | -30.6% | 38% | 38% | -1.7% |
| ≤30d | 33 | -17.0% | -24.9% | 48% | 45% | -29.0% |
| ≤90d | 33 | -17.0% | -24.9% | 48% | 45% | -29.0% |
| all | 33 | -17.0% | -24.9% | 48% | 45% | -29.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.9% | 45% | -29.0% |
| 10% | -32.1% | 39% | -35.8% |
| 15% | -38.7% | 33% | -42.0% |
| 20% | -44.7% | 30% | -47.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5,043 | +$844 | +17% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Jun 17 | $1 | +$1 | +73% |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $915 | −$70 | -8% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs | Jun 17 | $8,077 | −$1,795 | -22% |
| Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Jun 16 | $4,990 | +$2,685 | +54% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $624 | −$10 | -2% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $705 | −$10 | -1% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $1,722 | −$644 | -37% |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | Jun 04 | $1 | +$1 | +57% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 | Jun 04 | $10,080 | −$8,363 | -83% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 | Jun 03 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) | May 31 | $1 | +$1 | +93% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $1 | +$1 | +129% |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | May 29 | $1 | $0 | +31% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5 | May 29 | $1 | $0 | +44% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 | May 29 | $1 | +$1 | +93% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 | May 29 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $270 | +$38 | +14% |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | May 27 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5 | May 27 | $102 | −$3 | -3% |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | May 26 | $95 | +$97 | +103% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $955 | −$865 | -91% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $587 | +$339 | +58% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5 | May 24 | $11 | +$3 | +30% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) | May 24 | $596 | +$20 | +3% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | May 23 | $374 | +$217 | +58% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5 | May 22 | $1,112 | −$798 | -72% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $21 | −$21 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5 | May 19 | $688 | +$391 | +57% |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | May 18 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) | May 18 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | SELL Yes | 84¢ | $5,887 | 0m |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | SELL Austria | 43¢ | $845 | 1h |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | BUY Austria | 45¢ | $915 | 1h |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | BUY Yes | 71¢ | $5,043 | 1h |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers | 57¢ | $1 | 3h |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs | SELL Chicago Cubs | 29¢ | $1,700 | 3h |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs | SELL Chicago Cubs | 77¢ | $4,581 | 4h |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY Chicago Cubs | 67¢ | $7,069 | 5h |
| Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies | SELL Philadelphia Phillies | 96¢ | $3,817 | 5h |
| Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies | SELL Philadelphia Phillies | 97¢ | $3,858 | 5h |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY Chicago Cubs | 65¢ | $1,008 | 14h |
| Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY Philadelphia Phillies | 62¢ | $4,990 | 15h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 6¢ | $10 | 3d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Knicks | 83¢ | $157 | 3d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 53¢ | $101 | 3d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 50¢ | $1 | 3d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Knicks | 46¢ | $937 | 3d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 24¢ | $511 | 3d |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 59¢ | $1 | 3d |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 82¢ | $1 | 3d |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | SELL Yes | 81¢ | $688 | 3d |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 82¢ | $704 | 3d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 24¢ | $1 | 11d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Spurs | 46¢ | $1,048 | 11d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 74¢ | $1,713 | 11d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 78¢ | $8 | 11d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 | SELL Over | 10¢ | $1,716 | 13d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 | BUY Over | 55¢ | $10,080 | 13d |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | BUY Knicks | 63¢ | $1 | 13d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $1 | 13d |