Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:18:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

41
0x41a0…87e7
sports · 114 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,170 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,991 · open −$142
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,991
Unrealized−$142
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses40 / 72
Est. fees paid−$265
Open positions2
Markets (closed)112 / 114
History coverage94d
Avg bet$121
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 112 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$472
7 days−$1,510
14 days−$1,739
30 days−$1,983
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs STATE 20¢ 0¢ $139 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PURE vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner PURE 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming Youth Team 74¢ 0¢ $312 $0 −$312 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming Youth Team 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs UNiTY esports 47¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 14¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 10¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffs NAVI Junior 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs BOOM Esports - Map 1 Winner BOOM Esports 44¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Team Falcons 33¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage LGD Gaming 41¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Team WE 13¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winner UNiTY esports 61¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner Zero Tenacity 37¢ 0¢ $111 $0 −$111 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 18¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Team WE 19¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner against All authority 33¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 58¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner against All authority 36¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Overwatch: Cheeseburger vs SuperBad - Game 2 Winner SuperBad 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner HEROIC Academy 67¢ 0¢ $183 $0 −$183 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner NEW VISION 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $566 +$166 +29%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $304 −$200 -66%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $345 +$170 +49%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $304 −$100 -33%
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Jo Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $545 −$40 -7%
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 13 $100 −$6 -6%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $343 +$152 +44%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $102 +$13 +12%
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Gatorian - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$5 +46%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $324 −$128 -40%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $102 −$7 -7%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $149 −$100 -67%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $204 −$109 -53%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $152 −$50 -33%
Rainbow Six Siege: SCARZ vs KINOTROPE gaming (BO1) - Asia Pacific Leag Jun 12 $50 +$6 +11%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $147 −$145 -98%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$94 +93%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $102 +$210 +206%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $102 +$282 +276%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $256 −$102 -40%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 −$54 -53%
Overwatch: Cheeseburger vs SuperBad - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Sta Jun 11 $101 +$34 +34%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $458 −$250 -55%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $330 −$300 -91%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $124 −$62 -50%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr Jun 11 $157 +$125 +80%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $51 +$22 +43%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Play Jun 11 $71 −$19 -27%
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs BOOM Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $314 −$110 -35%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $152 −$50 -33%
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $252 +$71 +28%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $51 −$50 -97%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $314 −$312 -99%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $304 −$200 -66%
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $213 −$10 -5%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $101 +$84 +82%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $304 −$100 -33%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $154 −$100 -65%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $192 −$134 -70%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $27 +$3 +10%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $204 −$100 -49%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $149 +$130 +87%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $152 −$50 -33%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $113 −$111 -99%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $102 −$20 -20%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $389 −$183 -47%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $253 −$70 -28%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $63 +$155 +244%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$2,133
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PURE vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner SELL PURE 5¢ $9 48m
Counter-Strike: PURE vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner BUY PURE 25¢ $51 50m
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs SELL MASONIC 82¢ $127 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 18¢ $102 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 33¢ $39 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY MASONIC 64¢ $101 2h
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 1 Winner SELL The Last Resort 100¢ $732 2h
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 1 Winner BUY The Last Resort 79¢ $465 2h
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 1 Winner BUY The Last Resort 69¢ $101 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner SELL MASONIC 100¢ $325 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $418 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner BUY STATE 60¢ $202 3h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner BUY MASONIC 31¢ $102 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 51¢ $41 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 59¢ $202 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $298 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 47¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 30¢ $102 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 67¢ $202 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 47¢ $94 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 48¢ $102 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $714 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $41 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $504 5h
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea SELL Oxuji Esports 86¢ $3 5h
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea SELL Oxuji Esports 83¢ $91 6h
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea BUY Oxuji Esports 88¢ $100 6h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $495 6h
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Jo BUY Noir Verse 60¢ $10 6h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 78¢ $101 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-26.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 -25.3% -32.4% 34% 30% -25.7%
≤30d 109 -18.7% -26.5% 36% 31% -26.3%
≤90d 111 -18.7% -26.5% 36% 32% -26.4%
all 112 -18.9% -26.7% 36% 31% -26.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.7% 31% -26.4%
10% -33.7% 22% -33.4%
15% -40.1% 15% -39.9%
20% -46.0% 12% -45.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.35 · official $0.35 (match) · 359 history records