trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 56¢ | 18¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-67%) |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles | Seattle Mariners | 51¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Angels | 25¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets | St. Louis Cardinals | 44¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 51°F or below on June 6? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Hurricanes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | 55¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$11 | +109% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$1 | -42% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $43 | +$16 | +38% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$4 | -72% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $22 | +$24 | +112% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies | Jun 11 | $1 | +$1 | +68% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $3 | +$1 | +43% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | Jun 11 | $1 | +$1 | +90% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -9% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 09 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 07 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 06 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Jun 06 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 51°F or below on June 6? | Jun 06 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 32% | 27% | +16.8% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 32% | 27% | +16.8% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 32% | 27% | +16.8% |
| all | 22 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 32% | 27% | +16.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.9% | 27% | +16.8% |
| 10% | -29.4% | 27% | +5.6% |
| 15% | -36.2% | 27% | -4.6% |
| 20% | -42.5% | 18% | -13.9% |