trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -51.0% | -55.6% | 25% | 25% | -4.1% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -13.8% | -22.0% | 50% | 50% | +13.2% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -20.9% | -28.4% | 50% | 50% | -2.8% |
| all | 30 | -22.7% | -30.0% | 47% | 47% | -31.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.0% | 47% | -31.3% |
| 10% | -36.7% | 43% | -37.8% |
| 15% | -42.8% | 37% | -43.8% |
| 20% | -48.4% | 27% | -49.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 71¢ | 70¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 77¢ | 76¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 59¢ | 62¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $888 | −$888 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1,062 | +$1,021 | +96% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Jun 14 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 05 | $10 | +$7 | +67% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23? | May 24 | $1,300 | +$700 | +54% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25? | May 14 | $1 | +$1 | +65% |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a d | Apr 24 | $390 | −$390 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | Apr 16 | $14 | +$12 | +86% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17? | Mar 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Canadiens | Mar 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | Mar 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17? | Mar 22 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Mar 22 | $155 | −$155 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17? | Mar 22 | $1 | $0 | +30% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? | Mar 22 | $1 | $0 | +30% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18? | Mar 22 | $1 | $0 | +37% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Mar 22 | $1 | +$1 | +59% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | Mar 16 | $1 | $0 | +49% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 04 | $1 | $0 | -19% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 29 | $32 | −$9 | -28% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | Jan 02 | $25 | +$4 | +18% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27? | Dec 27 | $10 | +$6 | +59% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21? | Dec 22 | $2 | +$1 | +37% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21? | Dec 22 | $4 | +$3 | +82% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15? | Dec 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Osasuna vs. Levante UD end in a draw? | Dec 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Dec 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? | Dec 15 | $620 | −$620 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07? | Dec 08 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |