trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 24 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 96% | 4% | -10.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.3% | 4% | -10.9% |
| 10% | -19.8% | 4% | -19.5% |
| 15% | -27.6% | 4% | -27.2% |
| 20% | -34.7% | 0% | -34.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $116 | $116 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $110 | $110 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May? | Jun 01 | $111 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | Jun 01 | $115 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $226 | $0 | +0% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 28 | $226 | $0 | +0% |
| Bulls vs. Wizards | Apr 10 | $224 | +$2 | +1% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Clippers | Apr 01 | $772 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31? | Apr 01 | $770 | +$2 | +0% |
| Spurs vs. Grizzlies | Mar 26 | $769 | +$1 | +0% |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | Mar 18 | $767 | +$2 | +0% |
| Magic vs. Hawks | Mar 18 | $762 | +$5 | +1% |
| Hornets vs. Spurs | Mar 15 | $761 | +$1 | +0% |
| Grizzlies vs. Pistons | Mar 14 | $760 | +$1 | +0% |
| Suns vs. Pacers | Mar 13 | $758 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru | Mar 04 | $758 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $140? | Feb 14 | $757 | +$1 | +0% |
| Magic vs. Thunder | Feb 05 | $323 | −$323 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. 76ers | Feb 03 | $241 | +$114 | +47% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of January? | Jan 31 | $966 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 19 above $30? | Jan 25 | $965 | +$1 | +0% |
| Aster all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Jan 02 | $54 | $0 | +1% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Jan 02 | $165 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $248 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $448 | +$1 | +0% |