trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 6 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 33% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 33% | 0% | -10.1% |
| all | 23 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 57% | 4% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.9% | 4% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -16.7% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -24.7% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -32.1% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 85¢ | 85¢ | $32 | $32 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 26 | $37 | −$1 | -2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $45 | +$2 | +4% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 24 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 23 | $108 | −$3 | -3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 23 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 20 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files? | Jun 27 | $24 | $0 | -1% |
| Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | Jun 24 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | Jun 22 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between | Jun 22 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 21 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon 2025? | Jun 18 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025? | Jun 15 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bayern Munich beat Auckland City? | Jun 15 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 14 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Jun 14 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000? | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 13 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jalen Brunson Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 12 | $4 | +$1 | +14% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100K and $101K on May 23? | May 21 | $26 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 20 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the | May 20 | $24 | +$3 | +10% |