Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:46:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

41
0x412f…30fa
sports · 212 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$32,447 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$58,816 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$58,816
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses61 / 151
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Est. fees paid−$8,753
Open positions0
Markets (closed)212 / 212
History coverage56d
Avg bet$5,586
Trades / day58.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 212 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9,414
7 days−$15,656
14 days+$18,486
30 days+$27,280
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 1¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $8,506 +$8,173 +96%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $14 −$13 -97%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $983 −$983 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 14 $11,586 +$10,922 +94%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 14 $3,518 +$4,114 +117%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 14 $13,513 +$11,020 +82%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 14 $667 −$652 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 14 $12,164 −$11,995 -99%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $75 +$56 +74%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $12,070 −$12,047 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $37 +$489 +1314%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $4,324 +$1,942 +45%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,612 −$1,612 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $17,710 −$17,705 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $24 +$2,586 +10731%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) Jun 10 $2,444 −$2,396 -98%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5) Jun 10 $1,899 −$1,899 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $865 +$1,068 +124%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 09 $90 −$90 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-3.5) Jun 09 $6,633 −$6,633 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $1,043 −$1,043 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $5,883 −$5,883 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, M Jun 07 $818 −$818 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 07 $17,270 −$17,270 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Preli Jun 07 $1,312 −$1,312 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Jun 06 $8,930 −$8,930 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 06 $10,088 +$14,963 +148%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 Jun 05 $8,881 +$9,919 +112%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 04 $11 −$11 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 04 $12 −$12 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 04 $6,898 +$9,898 +144%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 04 $21,358 +$22,051 +103%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 04 $915 −$891 -97%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 03 $27,084 +$39,316 +145%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $11,362 −$11,118 -98%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 02 $157 −$157 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 02 $173 −$173 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 02 $9,401 −$8,897 -95%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 01 $35 −$35 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo Jun 01 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 01 $134 −$134 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $373 −$373 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics Jun 01 $2,776 −$2,731 -98%
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Jun 01 $259 −$259 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 01 $2,299 −$2,299 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 01 $239 +$347 +146%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $38,584 −$37,797 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $24,993 −$24,993 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 56% −$54,953
sports 44% −$3,863
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 1¢ $14 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $5,876 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $459 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $20 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $51 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $5 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $5 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $4 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $15 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $52 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $234 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $260 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $51 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $3 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $10 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $5 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $59 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $10 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $3 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $5 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $10 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $13 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $9 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $1 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $20 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $19 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $51 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $38 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $20 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +131.0% +109.0% 43% 43% -25.8%
≤30d 110 +7.3% -2.9% 33% 33% -6.0%
≤90d 212 +0.0% -9.5% 29% 29% -14.2%
all 212 +0.0% -9.5% 29% 29% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 29% -14.2%
10% -18.2% 29% -22.4%
15% ← realistic here -26.1% 29% -29.9%
20% -33.3% 28% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records