trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +3.0% | -6.8% | 80% | 0% | -5.2% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +10.4% | -0.1% | 88% | 38% | -4.8% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 83% | 33% | -5.1% |
| all | 13 | +1.3% | -8.3% | 85% | 31% | -5.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.3% | 31% | -5.1% |
| 10% | -17.1% | 8% | -14.2% |
| 15% | -25.1% | 0% | -22.5% |
| 20% | -32.4% | 0% | -30.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | $86 | $86 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 95¢ | 94¢ | $79 | $79 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 94¢ | 93¢ | $68 | $68 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 20 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Jun 20 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 20 | $73 | +$3 | +4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 20 | $99 | +$5 | +5% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +21% |
| Wild vs. Avalanche | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +29% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | Jun 03 | $5 | +$1 | +18% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch? | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +19% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Feb 28 | $1 | $0 | +7% |