trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Australia (-2.5) | Australia | 2¢ | 2¢ | $3 | $2 | −$1 (-22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | Mar 30 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5 | Mar 23 | $11 | +$11 | +100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8PM ET | Feb 13 | $15 | +$15 | +96% |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5 | Jan 26 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Queens Park Rangers FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5 | Dec 07 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Nov 16 | $20 | +$19 | +96% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Oct 08 | $47 | −$1 | -2% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | Oct 08 | $33 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Oct 07 | $30 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025? | Oct 02 | $21 | −$1 | -4% |
| Counter-Strike: M80 vs Virtus.pro | Sep 28 | $32 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jul 16 | $125 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Gen.G win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament | Jul 15 | $73 | −$4 | -5% |
| Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18? | Jul 14 | $29 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Real Madrid win La Liga? | Mar 30 | $2 | −$1 | -49% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 50% | 50% | -20.6% |
| all | 15 | -5.1% | -14.2% | 20% | 20% | -12.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.2% | 20% | -12.2% |
| 10% | -22.4% | 20% | -20.6% |
| 15% | -29.9% | 20% | -28.3% |
| 20% | -36.8% | 20% | -35.3% |