Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:26:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

40
0x40e8…88a4
sports · 260 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$22,103 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20,278 · open +$1,825
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8,028
Realized+$20,278
Unrealized+$1,825
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses166 / 88
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$3,102
Open positions6
Markets (closed)254 / 260
History coverage42d
Avg bet$1,031
Trades / day52.5
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 6 History 254 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,782
7 days+$15,694
14 days+$19,272
30 days+$17,550
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 69¢ 93¢ $2,740 $3,719 +$979 (+36%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 65¢ 100¢ $1,300 $1,999 +$699 (+54%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Under 79¢ 86¢ $1,580 $1,730 +$150 (+9%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 85¢ 84¢ $298 $293 −$5 (-2%)
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 72¢ $163 $164 +$1 (+1%)
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 77¢ 78¢ $122 $123 +$1 (+1%)
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) Shanghai Shenhua FC 81¢ 0¢ $1,134 $0 −$1,134 (-100%)
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5 Over 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner Astralis 11¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 62¢ 0¢ $1,550 $0 −$1,550 (-100%)
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 Under 68¢ 0¢ $1,020 $0 −$1,020 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 59¢ 0¢ $4,412 $0 −$4,412 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs 9z 63¢ 0¢ $635 $0 −$635 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 61¢ 0¢ $2,430 $0 −$2,430 (-100%)
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 0.5 Over 75¢ 0¢ $750 $0 −$750 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 Winner paiN 50¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 56¢ 0¢ $2,810 $0 −$2,810 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova Liudmila Samsonova 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 0.5 Over 37¢ 0¢ $740 $0 −$740 (-100%)
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5) Shanghai Haigang FC 77¢ 0¢ $1,160 $0 −$1,160 (-100%)
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5 Over 67¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5 Under 74¢ 0¢ $1,476 $0 −$1,476 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs 9z 67¢ 0¢ $1,339 $0 −$1,339 (-100%)
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF: O/U 5.5 Under 80¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 73¢ 0¢ $1,825 $0 −$1,825 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $7,338 +$2,826 +38%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1,511 +$489 +32%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $2,428 −$2,099 -86%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5,600 +$4,400 +79%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,825 −$1,825 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $2,354 +$818 +35%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,482 −$2,309 -66%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $815 −$9 -1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $4,422 −$4,412 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,825 −$1,730 -95%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,338 +$572 +43%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,333 +$667 +50%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1,603 +$897 +56%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $537 +$213 +40%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $413 −$85 -21%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2,740 +$2,260 +82%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $2,187 +$948 +43%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $487 +$162 +33%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $383 +$117 +31%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3,226 +$1,774 +55%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,135 +$865 +76%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 11 $343 +$157 +46%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,312 +$1,688 +129%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 11 $713 −$283 -40%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $974 +$139 +14%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $700 +$208 +30%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $690 +$154 +22%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $4,075 +$3,944 +97%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $1,024 −$1,020 -100%
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava Jun 09 $378 +$122 +32%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1,685 +$565 +34%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 09 $393 −$115 -29%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2,275 +$649 +28%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $798 +$285 +36%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $580 −$420 -72%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $3,377 +$2,123 +63%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $738 −$308 -42%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3,778 +$2,242 +59%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $690 +$240 +35%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 08 $2,607 −$51 -2%
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tauson Jun 08 $1,214 −$741 -61%
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan Jun 08 $515 +$99 +19%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Mees Rottgering Jun 08 $785 +$215 +27%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2,430 −$2,430 -100%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 0.5 Jun 07 $411 +$89 +22%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,020 +$980 +96%
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $1,072 +$412 +38%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1,166 +$280 +24%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $1,160 +$819 +71%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $1,663 +$337 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% +$22,160
other 11% −$58
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 79¢ $790 3m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 79¢ $151 3m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 79¢ $643 3m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 85¢ $170 5m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 85¢ $128 5m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 65¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 65¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 65¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 65¢ $27 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 65¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 65¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 65¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 65¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 65¢ $93 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 65¢ $27 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 65¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 65¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 65¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 65¢ $43 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 65¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 65¢ $208 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 65¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 65¢ $108 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 71¢ $53 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 70¢ $353 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 69¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 70¢ $706 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 69¢ $134 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 69¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 69¢ $45 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +6.2% -4.0% 65% 65% +3.7%
≤30d 176 +4.7% -5.3% 66% 64% -1.2%
≤90d 254 +4.2% -5.7% 65% 63% -2.2%
all 254 +4.2% -5.7% 65% 63% -2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.7% 63% -2.2%
10% -14.7% 49% -11.5%
15% ← realistic here -23.0% 33% -20.1%
20% -30.5% 16% -27.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,028.03 · official $8,028.03 (match) · 2362 history records