trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -21.2% | -28.7% | 38% | 23% | -29.2% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 43% | 29% | -27.3% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 45% | 36% | -25.5% |
| all | 27 | +14.4% | +3.5% | 52% | 41% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.5% | 41% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -6.4% | 33% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -15.4% | 30% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -23.7% | 26% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 7¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $3 | −$7 (-71%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $43 | −$40 | -94% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $21 | −$20 | -95% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $21 | +$50 | +236% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $21 | −$20 | -94% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $21 | −$20 | -94% |
| Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $42 | −$40 | -94% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$20 | -96% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$20 | -94% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $21 | +$21 | +97% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $21 | −$20 | -94% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $20 | +$38 | +185% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $113 | +$5 | +4% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jun 01 | $21 | +$4 | +21% |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17? | May 17 | $11 | +$10 | +97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 2? | May 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | May 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | May 16 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? | May 16 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April? | May 16 | $10 | +$5 | +46% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | May 16 | $10 | +$28 | +285% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | May 16 | $11 | +$15 | +145% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Mar 08 | $10 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | Feb 23 | $20 | −$5 | -26% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? | Feb 07 | $20 | +$92 | +459% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | Jan 26 | $20 | +$5 | +23% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua | Jan 01 | $10 | +$1 | +11% |