Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:00:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

40
0x408f…b2f4
sports · 4 markets active 5h ago
0.0score
+$159,665 +145%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$159,665 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$159,665
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Est. fees paid−$1,997
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
Avg bet$27,589
Trades / day16.7
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$159,665
7 days+$159,665
14 days+$159,665
30 days+$159,665
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Chicago Cubs 65¢ 0¢ $35,000 $0 −$35,000 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $20,843 $0 −$20,843 (-100%)
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Phoenix Mercury 32¢ 0¢ $17,994 $0 −$17,994 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $21,193 −$20,843 -98%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $18,360 −$17,994 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $35,434 +$233,502 +659%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $35,370 −$35,000 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$159,665
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 44¢ $21,193 5h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Phoenix Mercury 29¢ $403 6h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Phoenix Mercury 31¢ $1,429 6h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Phoenix Mercury 30¢ $1,429 6h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Phoenix Mercury 33¢ $1,428 6h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Phoenix Mercury 33¢ $1,428 6h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Phoenix Mercury 33¢ $1,428 6h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Phoenix Mercury 32¢ $1,428 6h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Phoenix Mercury 33¢ $1,428 6h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Phoenix Mercury 33¢ $1,428 6h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Phoenix Mercury 32¢ $1,428 6h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Phoenix Mercury 34¢ $1,428 6h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Phoenix Mercury 32¢ $1,632 6h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Phoenix Mercury 32¢ $2,041 6h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 100¢ $268,936 28h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 13¢ $35,434 29h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Chicago Cubs 65¢ $35,370 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+71.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +89.7% +71.7% 25% 25% +122.7%
≤30d 4 +89.7% +71.7% 25% 25% +122.7%
≤90d 4 +89.7% +71.7% 25% 25% +122.7%
all 4 +89.7% +71.7% 25% 25% +122.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.7 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +71.7% 25% +122.7%
10% ← realistic here +55.2% 25% +101.4%
15% +40.2% 25% +81.9%
20% +26.5% 25% +64.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 17 history records