trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 8 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 50% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -9.2% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -17.9% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -25.8% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $41 | $41 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 21 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Jun 01 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April? | May 17 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March? | Apr 22 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | Mar 25 | $19 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Solana dip to $10 in March? | Mar 25 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 07 | $15,911 | −$16 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Mar 07 | $27 | +$1 | +2% |