Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:26:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

40
0x4080…d47d
crypto · 227 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$285 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$285 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$285
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses156 / 71
Open positions0
Markets (closed)227 / 227
History coverage14d
Avg bet$59
Trades / day43.9
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 0 History 227 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$82
7 days+$112
14 days+$285
30 days+$285
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $493 $0 −$493 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$34 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$21 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$20 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$12 +159%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $142 +$23 +16%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $46 +$20 +43%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$3 -9%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $129 +$60 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $63 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $76 +$23 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$24 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $58 −$56 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $498 −$493 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$6 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$44 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$7 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$20 +159%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $148 −$16 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $74 −$8 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $668 +$132 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $75 +$24 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$10 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $48 +$12 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $293 +$17 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +37%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +57%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $396 +$4 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% +$198
other 15% +$87
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $12 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $13 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $9 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $14 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $8 59m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $13 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $29 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $24 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $29 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $30 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $7 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $29 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $24 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 150 -2.4% -11.7% 69% 51% -8.5%
≤30d 227 -1.5% -10.9% 69% 51% -7.6%
≤90d 227 -1.5% -10.9% 69% 51% -7.6%
all 227 -1.5% -10.9% 69% 51% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 51% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 42% -16.4%
15% -27.2% 27% -24.5%
20% -34.3% 15% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 795 history records