trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | Aurora Gaming | 11¢ | 0¢ | $18 | $0 | −$18 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner | Monte | 1¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner | Team Falcons | 15¢ | 0¢ | $11 | $0 | −$11 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | Monte | 30¢ | 0¢ | $9 | $0 | −$9 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | Legacy | 60¢ | 0¢ | $42 | $0 | −$42 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner | Monte | 11¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | BIG | 11¢ | 0¢ | $44 | $0 | −$44 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage | Team Falcons | 42¢ | 0¢ | $148 | $0 | −$148 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | Jun 12 | $167 | +$13 | +8% |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag | Jun 12 | $38 | +$11 | +30% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $24 | +$31 | +127% |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner | Jun 11 | $63 | −$13 | -20% |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage | Jun 11 | $75 | +$18 | +24% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 11 | $99 | +$8 | +8% |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner | Jun 11 | $42 | $0 | -1% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner | Jun 11 | $27 | −$20 | -74% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner | Jun 11 | $12 | −$11 | -87% |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | Jun 06 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | Jun 06 | $176 | −$82 | -47% |
| Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | Jun 06 | $125 | −$44 | -35% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage | May 10 | $348 | −$108 | -31% |
| Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage | May 10 | $54 | +$32 | +58% |
| Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | May 10 | $46 | −$46 | -100% |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7? | Mar 12 | $226 | −$180 | -80% |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Mar 07 | $10 | −$8 | -75% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on March 5? | Mar 05 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -34.9% | -41.1% | 42% | 25% | -17.5% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -34.9% | -41.1% | 42% | 25% | -17.5% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -35.6% | -41.7% | 40% | 27% | -29.0% |
| all | 18 | -43.8% | -49.1% | 33% | 22% | -41.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -49.1% | 22% | -41.7% |
| 10% | -54.0% | 22% | -47.3% |
| 15% | -58.4% | 11% | -52.4% |
| 20% | -62.5% | 11% | -57.0% |