Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:22:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

40
0x4060…3ec3
other · 278 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
+$91,318 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$92,386 · open −$1,846
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$20,208
Realized+$92,386
Unrealized−$1,846
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses201 / 57
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Est. fees paid−$172
Open positions21
Markets (closed)258 / 278
Avg bet$8,452
Trades / day108.6
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit53%
Chart Positions 21 History 258 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,939
7 days+$14,769
14 days+$35,537
30 days+$92,386
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No 93¢ 96¢ $3,258 $3,355 +$97 (+3%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? No 84¢ 54¢ $2,981 $1,909 −$1,072 (-36%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? No 86¢ 94¢ $1,680 $1,819 +$139 (+8%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026? No 96¢ 99¢ $1,700 $1,757 +$57 (+3%)
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in June? No 78¢ 78¢ $1,690 $1,700 +$10 (+1%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June? No 94¢ 99¢ $1,250 $1,310 +$61 (+5%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? No 59¢ 20¢ $3,556 $1,239 −$2,317 (-65%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? No 36¢ 80¢ $456 $1,016 +$560 (+123%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? No 95¢ 98¢ $868 $894 +$26 (+3%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? No 93¢ 97¢ $732 $764 +$32 (+4%)
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $749 $755 +$6 (+1%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June? No 90¢ 98¢ $640 $700 +$60 (+9%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 33¢ 75¢ $250 $561 +$311 (+124%)
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June? No 42¢ 30¢ $760 $537 −$223 (-29%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June? No 97¢ 99¢ $519 $528 +$9 (+2%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No 98¢ 99¢ $443 $446 +$3 (+1%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June? No 39¢ 83¢ $157 $332 +$175 (+111%)
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June? No 39¢ 89¢ $134 $304 +$169 (+126%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of June 8 2026? No 76¢ 98¢ $119 $153 +$35 (+29%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of June 8 2026? No 94¢ 99¢ $94 $99 +$5 (+6%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? No 37¢ 59¢ $19 $30 +$11 (+58%)
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of June 1 2026? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 20? Down 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 11? No 65¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $4,461 +$657 +15%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 12 $94 −$37 -39%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 11? Jun 11 $114 +$86 +75%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Jun 11 $161 +$1,962 +1221%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 11? Jun 11 $823 +$575 +70%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 11? Jun 11 $185 +$688 +372%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? Jun 11 $66 +$455 +688%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in June? Jun 11 $1,510 −$2 -0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June? Jun 11 $328 +$191 +58%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Jun 11 $1,117 −$221 -20%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 11? Jun 11 $13 −$13 -99%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $142 −$18 -13%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $412 +$88 +22%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $87 −$22 -25%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 10? Jun 11 $116 −$116 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 10? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? Jun 11 $8,366 +$1,027 +12%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Jun 11 $14,423 +$847 +6%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,769 +$256 +14%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $80 +$13 +16%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,182 −$56 -5%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $1,448 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on June 10? Jun 10 $150 $0 +0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June? Jun 10 $484 +$443 +91%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 10? Jun 10 $23 +$123 +537%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $15,189 +$452 +3%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,172 −$430 -37%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June? Jun 10 $353 +$56 +16%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June? Jun 10 $2,369 +$443 +19%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June? Jun 10 $24,915 +$36 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 9? Jun 09 $923 +$3,372 +365%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 9? Jun 09 $339 +$108 +32%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 9? Jun 09 $362 +$138 +38%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 9? Jun 09 $2,645 +$5 +0%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $3,729 +$195 +5%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 09 $19 −$1 -8%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 9? Jun 09 $18 −$17 -97%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $291 +$163 +56%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $81 +$30 +37%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $3,129 −$16 -0%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 19? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2? Jun 09 $290 −$33 -12%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 09 $73 −$35 -48%
Will Sai Sudharsan win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap? Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 20? Jun 09 $590 −$559 -95%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 19? Jun 09 $45 −$45 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 2? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 22? Jun 09 $209 −$133 -63%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26? Jun 09 $481 −$446 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 43% +$48,603
sports 29% +$2,457
other 15% +$37,598
crypto 12% +$1,870
tech 0% +$11
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $87 3h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 57¢ $40 3h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 59¢ $29 3h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 65¢ $147 3h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 64¢ $749 4h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026? SELL No 100¢ $92 5h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 33¢ $375 9h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 57¢ $24 10h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026? SELL No 100¢ $438 10h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 67¢ $846 10h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? SELL No 10¢ $57 12h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 65¢ $114 12h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 66¢ $286 12h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 48¢ $24 12h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 36¢ $23 12h
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in June? BUY No 98¢ $164 12h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $1,213 13h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? SELL No 99¢ $178 13h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? SELL No 99¢ $50 13h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? SELL No 99¢ $49 13h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? SELL No 99¢ $49 13h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? SELL No 99¢ $49 13h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? SELL No 99¢ $49 13h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? SELL No 99¢ $49 13h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 11? BUY No 0¢ $0 13h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? SELL No 50¢ $512 13h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 11? BUY No 0¢ $1 13h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $312 13h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? SELL No 99¢ $20 13h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 48¢ $579 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+31.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 +40.3% +26.9% 71% 44% +1.8%
≤30d 258 +45.7% +31.8% 78% 39% -5.9%
≤90d 258 +45.7% +31.8% 78% 39% -5.9%
all 258 +45.7% +31.8% 78% 39% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover108.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +31.8% 39% -5.9%
10% +19.2% 28% -14.9%
15% ← realistic here +7.7% 22% -23.1%
20% -2.9% 18% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20,208.38 · official $20,208.38 (match) · 3500 history records