Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:59:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

40
0x405d…7fb9
crypto · 280 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$73 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$73 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$73
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses271 / 9
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)280 / 280
History coverage62d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 280 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$30
14 days−$28
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $26 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +3%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $29 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $30 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 11? Jun 11 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$16 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 11? Jun 11 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $16 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $16 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 11 $40 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $48 +$2 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $16 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $16 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $16 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 09 $16 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 09 $16 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 08 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 08 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 08 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 08 $14 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 08 $16 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$35
other 10% −$42
finance 6% +$3
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $16 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $16 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $16 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $16 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $16 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 10h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $50 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 18h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $24 18h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $5 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $49 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 39h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $16 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 40h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 11? BUY No 97¢ $29 42h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 11? BUY Yes 99¢ $30 42h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 11? BUY Yes 99¢ $19 42h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 11? BUY Yes 99¢ $1 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 99¢ $30 42h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $16 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -3.4% -12.6% 95% 0% -12.2%
≤30d 132 -2.0% -11.3% 96% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 280 -1.3% -10.7% 97% 0% -10.8%
all 280 -1.3% -10.7% 97% 0% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.7% 0% -10.8%
10% -19.2% 0% -19.3%
15% -27.0% 0% -27.1%
20% -34.2% 0% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.88 · official $0.00 (match) · 1896 history records