trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 9 | -8.3% | -17.1% | 67% | 11% | -7.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -8.3% | -17.1% | 67% | 11% | -7.9% |
| all | 24 | -7.0% | -15.9% | 50% | 4% | -8.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.9% | 4% | -8.8% |
| 10% | -23.9% | 0% | -17.5% |
| 15% | -31.3% | 0% | -25.5% |
| 20% | -38.0% | 0% | -32.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | $31 | $31 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 27 | $2 | $0 | +14% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 26 | $126 | +$2 | +2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 26 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 25 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 25 | $46 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 25 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 24 | $43 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 23 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 22 | $17 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Gregory Rusland be the next president of Suriname after the elect | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Steve Mnuchin buy TikTok? | Jun 27 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 2–9? | May 09 | $1 | −$1 | -82% |
| Will the Jaguars draft Travis Hunter in 2025? | Apr 21 | $1 | $0 | -7% |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 | Apr 20 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will XRP reach $2.70 in April? | Apr 19 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority? | Apr 18 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | Apr 17 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump x Putin talk by Friday? | Apr 16 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April? | Apr 16 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April? | Apr 10 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30? | Apr 08 | $15 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 05 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 04 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Mar 28 | $2 | $0 | +1% |