trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | -17.2% | -25.1% | 52% | 52% | -13.1% |
| ≤30d | 27 | -17.3% | -25.1% | 56% | 48% | -14.1% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -17.3% | -25.1% | 56% | 48% | -14.1% |
| all | 27 | -17.3% | -25.1% | 56% | 48% | -14.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.1% | 48% | -14.1% |
| 10% | -32.3% | 37% | -22.3% |
| 15% | -38.9% | 33% | -29.8% |
| 20% | -44.8% | 26% | -36.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 89¢ | 88¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Atlanta Braves | 55¢ | 53¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 80¢ | 92¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+14%) |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 87¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States vs. Australia: Neither team to score first? | Jun 19 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Australia to score first vs. United States? | Jun 19 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $51 | +$53 | +105% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $100 | +$17 | +17% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $51 | +$29 | +57% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $71 | +$104 | +146% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$49 | +48% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $50 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $50 | +$20 | +40% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $40 | +$22 | +55% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $80 | +$10 | +13% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $30 | +$17 | +57% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $51 | +$45 | +90% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$4 | +22% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $51 | +$29 | +57% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe | Jun 12 | $30 | +$1 | +4% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$2 | +24% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | Jun 12 | $25 | $0 | +1% |