trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 24 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $862 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $863 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $863 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $866 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $1,750 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 02 | $1,737 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 31 | $1,769 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 28 | $869 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $875 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 22 | $875 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 20 | $876 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 18 | $1,775 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $878 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $1,777 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | May 12 | $881 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 10 | $883 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 08 | $882 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 04 | $887 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 02 | $781 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 30 | $890 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $896 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 20 | $898 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 18 | $899 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 16 | $900 | −$1 | -0% |