trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -50.1% | -54.8% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -50.1% | -54.8% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -50.1% | -54.8% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| all | 20 | +26.2% | +14.2% | 55% | 35% | -10.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +14.2% | 35% | -10.2% |
| 10% | +3.2% | 30% | -18.8% |
| 15% | -6.7% | 20% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -15.9% | 20% | -33.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 37¢ | 23¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-37%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 21 | $1,599 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $8 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Feb 17 | $1,900 | −$19 | -1% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Feb 14 | $500 | −$71 | -14% |
| Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 20 | Feb 14 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Feb 14 | $5 | +$8 | +159% |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? | Feb 14 | $8 | +$24 | +300% |
| Mehmet Oz confirmed as Medicare and Medicaid Administrator? | Oct 09 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | Feb 14 | $17 | +$5 | +28% |
| Will Kirk Cousins win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | Feb 14 | $1,000 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP flip ETH in 2024? | Jan 09 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 17 | $500 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Dec 17 | $400 | −$1 | -0% |
| South Korean President impeached in 2024? | Dec 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024? | Dec 17 | $15 | +$4 | +25% |
| Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10? | Dec 09 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi | Dec 09 | $10 | +$23 | +233% |
| Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4? | Sep 09 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Manchester United sacks Erik ten Hag? | Sep 09 | $15 | +$12 | +79% |
| Senate control after 2024 election? | Jun 08 | $100 | −$1 | -1% |